Abrupt Decay value post rotation?
Economics forum
Posted on June 3, 2014, 4:49 p.m. by Wolfninja
I know it sees play in modern, so how much will it increase in price post rotation?
OneSlighGuy says... #4
Will either remain stable or continue to go up. IIRC, BUG decks of various sorts are also getting a little more popular in Legacy at the moment, too.
June 3, 2014 4:58 p.m.
I don't see this card going down at all.. I expect it's price to behave similarly to the shock lands. It may see a very slight initial drop at rotation from the purely standard players dumping them as they'll have no use for them anymore but the price will eventually come back up especially right before modern season (like the price spike we saw this year just before). I don't know where they'll end up for certain, but I would say at an absolute worst your looking at a $15 card. So, IMO, at worst you'll be getting a little more value out of them than you are now but your most likely to get more than that.
June 3, 2014 5:09 p.m.
Rasta_Viking29 says... #6
I've heard other players say that it has a really good chance of being $25+ in a couple years.
June 3, 2014 5:12 p.m.
Strong card for Modern and Legacy format. I'll bet it'll see some rise in its price.
June 3, 2014 5:15 p.m.
A lot of decks prefer having Abrupt Decay over Vindicate since Abrupt Decay hits 95% of the cards you'd want to blow up, can't be countered, and is an instant. That's not to say Vindicate is a bad card, but rather Abrupt Decay could easily take its place and be worth a similar amount ($17~$30) after a few years.
June 3, 2014 5:35 p.m.
when rotation comes the price will drop when the market get's flooded with them from standard players moving their rotating cards. After that the price will keep going up since it's one of the best spot removal in legacy and modern
June 3, 2014 5:37 p.m.
actiontech says... #11
Look at what already happened to the foil price, then extrapolate what will inevitably happen to the regular price. I'm picking up as many copies as I can get my hands on.
June 3, 2014 5:39 p.m.
Rasta_Viking29 says... #12
Thanks for the heads up sylvannos. I'm going to go sleeve my Vindicate when I get home... Had no idea it was worth that much.
June 3, 2014 5:40 p.m.
It's one of the best removal spells in both Modern and Legacy. It won't be going down at all.
June 3, 2014 5:45 p.m.
Schuesseled says... #14
I wouldn't expect to see hundreds of these suddenly flood ebay come rotation, people will be looking to lock these away in a "keep for 10 years" folder
June 3, 2014 6:11 p.m.
I have to agree with Schuesseled here. There is another factor, with more modern players (who are standard players) they will be holding on to these for their modern decks also. I suspect that the number of modern/legacy playables that hit the market will be smaller than expected because in every thread/trade all you hear is 'eternal value' and a lot of 'I'm new to modern, where do I start' type threads.... every where. The number of standard only players is dwindling, which means the number of cards available at rotation is dwindling also. But I suspect the market won't reflect this properly till next year and this year we'll see a minor decline in the number of modern/legacy staples hit the market. While the junk will still flood like there is no tomorrow.
June 3, 2014 6:18 p.m.
gufymike et al. You are forgetting basic statistics - the intersection of players who care about economics, play standard, and play modern is extremely small. Furthermore the vast majority of magic players are clueless standard players and casuals. Wizards have echoed this multiple times. It's not a BAD thing, it's just the way it is. Most people who play don't know. You only think they do because you're part of a magic website with good players. That's called confirmation bias.
June 3, 2014 7:45 p.m.
ChiefBell wish it was, but locally and geographically (traveling to play) I've seen the same changes and the spread of information is stronger than ever before. Next the numbers of modern players in general is growing and has grown exponentially. The size of 'clueless standard players' is shrinking. The numbers aren't in because the change is relatively recent (within the past year), due to MM. Wait a bit and let's see.
June 3, 2014 7:56 p.m.
I would much rather prefer my interpretation over yours gufy!
I think what will happen in reality is that quite a few will come onto the market but it won't be to the same extent as it used to be. We can only speculate though.
June 3, 2014 8:11 p.m.
DarkMagician says... #20
I have to agree with gufymike here. When my lgs opened up six years ago nobody paid attention to card prices when trading, it was simply I want that and you want this so let's just trade already. Nowadays even newbs know better than this. Mtg information has become much more wide spread than ever before and anybody who plays magic and owns a smartphone has instant access to card value. Also as gufymike said modern is growing so fewer and fewer players will be getting rid of cards such as Abrupt Decay meaning smaller and smaller price tag hits.
June 5, 2014 6:12 a.m.
How likely is it that Abrupt Decay will become a $30 card? I have the chance to get some now for $10 each, and i'm thinking about getting a few.
June 5, 2014 10:34 p.m.
it's almost a certainty that it will be more than $10 come next modern season so i'd say pick them up for $10 if you can.
GoldGhost012 says... #2
I wouldn't be too surprised to see it at least come back to where it is now.
June 3, 2014 4:53 p.m.