Zendikar Expeditions Chance?
Economics forum
Posted on Feb. 19, 2016, 12:52 a.m. by mtgirem
Not sure if this is the proper forum for this thread but I'll ask it anyway.
Anyone have experience buying boxes for the recent sets? What are the odds that you get an expedition land?
My understanding was that it would be the same as a mythic. However, I've bought 2 boxes, one of each of the new zendikar sets and didn't get a single land. Does my luck suck (likely) or am I misunderstanding something about their rarity?
ducttapedeckbox says... #3
The rate is supposedly around 1-2 per case. No source, but I think that's what I've heard.
February 19, 2016 12:55 a.m.
So originally they were thought to be as rare as a foil mythic but later it was revealed they were more common I am not sure how much more common but probably similar to like a foil rare or something. My experience is I bought a box of bfz and 2 fat packs in my fat pack I got a scalding tarn then I bought a box of ogw and got a kor haven. Really its just luck I think there are 3-ish per case so 1 every 2 boxes so its just luck on which box you get
February 19, 2016 12:57 a.m.
asasinater13 says... #5
between 1 and 3 per case, averaging at 2. I've seen/heard of rare occasions where up to 5 were opened in one case, but that's entirely unlikely and should never be expected. I don't think I've heard of a case with 0.
February 19, 2016 4:16 a.m.
Randomdeath says... #6
They are just slightly more common than a foil mythic which should equal to 1 for every 6 boxs, but that number can vary. I've seen someone who bought a case and didn't a single one and one guy buy two fat packs and got two.
February 19, 2016 6:53 a.m.
By case people mean a set of 6 boxes? If 1-3 per case is expected then I guess these things are super rare. That explains a lot. Appreciate the info.
February 19, 2016 8:26 a.m.
It's possible, but unlikely. I've bought 10 packs with no luck, but my friend bought a hat pack and got Blood Crypt.
February 19, 2016 8:57 a.m.
EpicFreddi says... #9
The "random" factor seems to be very off though. We had a guy open one case and have one EXP while another guy one box and had two.
February 19, 2016 10:12 a.m.
ducttapedeckbox says... #10
That's because 1-3 per case assumes a large sample size. It's like flipping a coin. Flip it 10 times and you could get 8 heads and 2 tails, but if you flip it a million times, chances are that you'll get about 50-50.
February 19, 2016 10:25 a.m.
TheHelvault says... #11
1 in 120 packs. 1.5 times per case, so 25% chance of an expedition per box
February 19, 2016 1:27 p.m.
00xtremeninja says... #12
I wanna meet someone who has opened one in a pack from target or walmart. I usually grab one or two when at the store and nadda. Crack boxes and got a tarn, flooded strand and fire lit.
February 19, 2016 9 p.m.
Lastdaysgunslinger says... #13
Its weird because i bought zero boxes of bfz. I bought 2 fatpacks and 7 random boosters of the set and pulled 3 expiditions, but ive had friends buy multiple boxes an pulled nothing. I guess i got lucky.As for oath i bought a fat pack and 3 boosters and pulled nothing.
bijschjdbcd says... #2
As rare as a foil Mythic...
For what this translated into for a box I have no idea.
My recommendation is to just buy them rather then hoping to getone.
February 19, 2016 12:55 a.m.