The Odds Function
TappedOut forum
Posted on Nov. 9, 2016, 1:33 p.m. by wolfdwarf
What does the Odds thing in the deck view thing actually mean? After a few turns out, the Lands' percentage becomes a 100%, does that mean to imply that there is a 100% chance of me drawing a Land on that turn??? That doesn't make sense, so I am sure I am sure that I am not understanding its function or what the Odds device is meaning to say.
Is it broken? Doesn't seem like it's broken to me... just don't think I am reading the meaning of the numbers correctly.
November 9, 2016 1:59 p.m.
As I understand it, it's the chance of having that card in hand on or before that turn, assuming one draw per turn. I suspect the 100% is rounding something like 99.999%.
November 9, 2016 2:15 p.m.
Actually I rescind my previous claim it does appear to be VERY broken. Some cards have "nan%" as their odd. And although there is only 1 of every card (aside from lands, it is an EDH deck) they all have different odds...
Can someone shine a light on this?
November 9, 2016 2:21 p.m.
Huh. Just looked at my EDH deck. City of Brass has an initial 70.0%, while Mana Confluence has 12.5% and Reflecting Pool has 8.9%. The numbers are also messed up for a non-EDH deck. I got no idea.
November 9, 2016 2:34 p.m.
JerichoDarkstar says... #7
I was looking at this deck: http://tappedout.net/mtg-decks/scion-king-of-edh/card-odds/
And I noticed that Bayou is sitting at 77.8% probably because it can be searched for by multiple cards. Any of the fetch lands that target Swamps or Forest cards will grab it. I think tutor cards factor into this somehow.
But, this still doesn't explain why a card like Azorius Signet has nan% or other cards that can't be tutored up are 100% or a stupid high number.
I also noticed that the nan% never shows up below 100%. On Badlands, turn 1 is 100% then turn 2 is nan%. So, these values are going over 100% for some reason. I wish I knew what "nan" meant.
[EDIT]: Chromatic Lantern and Chaos Warp show a better progression of percentages going up steadily, reaching 100%, then going to nan%
November 9, 2016 2:36 p.m. Edited.
I think nan is No Available Number or something along those lines.
November 9, 2016 2:43 p.m.
hyperlocke says... #9
NAN usually means "not a number". For example, division by zero will give you an NAN.
Missing values are specified with NA (not available).
November 9, 2016 3:14 p.m.
We all know what NaN means! The question is: "how did it show up here?" or the real question is: "what the blind eternities is the Odds table suppoused to tell us?"
November 9, 2016 7:39 p.m.
JerichoDarkstar says... #12
Yeah, I think so. Just checked and the problem seems to be resolved.
On a commander deck, all the cards have the same percentage, and nan% is gone.
I really wish I knew what was causing that to happen. I know that dividing by zero could have been a cause, but there was no reason to do that. The statistics of this has no need for dividing.
November 21, 2016 1:44 p.m.
Confirming that it is fixed for me as well. Thank you so much! Love you guys! Sorry for the spamming, will buy a credit or membership next time I would buy a pack :)
hyperlocke says... #2
From the layout I'd guess it means the probability of you drawing at least one of a specific card until turn X.
But the numbers seem really broken for that, so I'm not sure... yeaGO?
November 9, 2016 1:54 p.m.